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2024-12-13 04:44:18

Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.General Administration of Customs: In the first 11 months, automobile exports were 762.97 billion yuan, up by 16.9%. According to the data of General Administration of Customs, in the first 11 months, China exported 13.7 trillion yuan of mechanical and electrical products, up by 8.4%, accounting for 59.5% of China's total export value. Among them, automatic data processing equipment and its parts and components were 1.33 trillion yuan, an increase of 11.4%; 1.03 trillion yuan of integrated circuits, up by 20.3%; Mobile phones reached 874.45 billion yuan, down by 0.9%; Automobile was 762.97 billion yuan, up by 16.9%. In the same period, the export of labor products was 3.84 trillion yuan, an increase of 3.2%, accounting for 16.7%. Among them, clothing and clothing accessories were 1.03 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.9%; Textiles were 915.96 billion yuan, up 6%; Plastic products reached 681.09 billion yuan, up 6.9%. The export of agricultural products was 657.34 billion yuan, up by 4.6%. (General Administration of Customs)Japan Life Insurance will acquire Resolution Life for about $8.2 billion.


Xiaomi Auto Elite Driving Activity started. According to Xiaomi News, Xiaomi Auto Elite Driving Activity is now open for registration, and the registration fee is 9999 yuan. Participants will receive a 9999 yuan deposit gift certificate for Xiaomi SU7 Ultra, enjoy a professional track and drift experience, and get a professional certificate after the event.8.8 billion cubic meters of natural gas is supplied to Hubei. It was learned from Huazhong Company, the State Pipe Network Group, that on the basis of delivering more than 8.2 billion cubic meters of natural gas to Hubei last year, considering the growing demand for natural gas in Hubei, the company further implemented the natural gas supply resources. It is estimated that 8.8 billion cubic meters of natural gas can be delivered to Hubei this year, accounting for 97.7% of Hubei's natural gas market, which can guarantee Hubei's people's livelihood and economic development needs this winter.The Beijing Municipal Science and Technology Commission and Zhongguancun Management Committee investigated the brain-computer interface technology under Chengyitong. Recently, Li Junnan, Minister of the Frontier Department of Medical Center of Beijing Science and Technology Commission and Zhongguancun Management Committee, and Zheng Meng, Deputy Director of Daxing District Science and Technology Commission, and his party went to Beijing Naolin Technology Co., Ltd., a subsidiary of Chengyitong, to have in-depth exchanges on further promoting the development and application of brain-computer interface technology. According to reports, at present, the company has made a series of important technological breakthroughs, and has completed the trial production of three prototypes of nerve rehabilitation products based on brain-computer interface technology, namely, products based on visual evoked potential paradigm-brain-computer interface cognitive rehabilitation system, brain-computer interface hand function rehabilitation system, and innovative mixed paradigm products based on visual reinforcement of motor imagination-brain-computer interface upper and lower limb active and passive rehabilitation system.


Electric wind power set up a new company, including offshore wind turbine business. The enterprise search APP shows that recently, Shangdian Ruoqiang New Energy Co., Ltd. was established with Gao Xiang as its legal representative and registered capital of 1 million yuan. Its business scope includes: sales of new energy prime mover equipment; Sales of onshore wind turbines; Offshore wind turbine sales, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is wholly owned by Electric Wind Power.Google CEO said that its newly released quantum computing chip can complete supercomputing in five minutes. On its newly released quantum computing chip Willow, Google CEO Sundar Pichai said that Willow is an important step to build a useful quantum computer. It has practical applications in drug discovery, fusion energy, battery design and other fields. Its breakthrough can reduce errors exponentially when we use more qubits, and solve the 30-year challenge in this field. In the benchmark test, Willow completed a "standard benchmark calculation" in less than five minutes, and even the fastest supercomputer today takes "10 to the 25th power" years to complete this calculation-this figure is far beyond the age of the universe.The diet pills sector strengthened locally, with Changshan Pharmaceutical rising by over 13%, followed by Hanyu Pharmaceutical, Shengnuo Bio, Hongyuan Pharmaceutical and Borui Pharmaceutical.

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